Hedgwatch Research

Retail Sentiment

A daily measure of directional market narratives across major equity indices, gold and crude oil. Track where commentary is leaning—and how that positioning changes through time.

As of 2026-10-30
Updated 2026-10-31 00:46 UTC
Cross-asset narrativeBEARISH LEAN
Average sentiment-32.8
Strongest narrativeCrude Oil -10
Weakest narrativeS&P 500 -58
S&P 5007583.4
BEARISH
-58
Bullish10%
Bearish65%
Consensus82
1D n/a3D n/a5D n/a
Nasdaq 10028391.9
BEARISH
-35
Bullish20%
Bearish55%
Consensus25
1D n/a3D n/a5D n/a
Gold3883.225
BEARISH
-28
Bullish25%
Bearish50%
Consensus62
1D n/a3D n/a5D n/a
Crude Oil104.561
NEUTRAL
-10
Bullish35%
Bearish45%
Consensus35
1D n/a3D n/a5D n/a
Historical signal

Sentiment trend

−100 strongly bearish · 0 neutral · +100 strongly bullish · click a Price legend item to compare

Narrative detail

What is driving sentiment

Conviction, intensity and dominant themes from the latest observation

MarketCurrent narrativeDominant themesConvictionIntensityCoverage
S&P 500The repository's direct SPX500_USD/SPX/S&P 500 technical coverage is materially bearish for the forward-looking short-term narrative. Most listed trend, momentum, and aggregate indicators are short, while several oscillators remain neutral and a small number of longer-term measures are supportive. Longer-term support from some trend measures · Mixed momentum signalsBroad short-term technical weakness · Sell-oriented aggregate signal · Negative momentum and trend indicators62681
Nasdaq 100The repository presents a predominantly bearish near-term Nasdaq narrative, with sell signals and widespread short-term technical weakness across NAS100, Nasdaq and QQQ aliases. The outlook is moderated by longer-term support from 100- and 200-period averages and some neutral or positive readings, but the evidence comes from one apparent analytics source and does not establish broad independent consensus. Long-term trend support from 200-period moving averages · Potential support near established pivot levelsBroad short- and medium-term moving-average weakness · Sell signal and negative momentum indicators · Downside pressure across MACD, Ultimate, Williams and Awesome Oscillator65701
GoldThe repository's current Gold narrative is moderately bearish but mixed. Most moving-average, Hull, VWAP, momentum, bull/bear power, and stochastic-RSI readings are short, while the 9/13 count, ADX, MACD, and limited longer-horizon signals provide countervailing support. Retail positioning is close to balanced with a slight bullish tilt, reducing overall conviction.Buy signal from the 9/13 count indicator · Some longer-horizon trend and momentum supportBroad short signals across moving averages · Weak short-term momentum and downside technical pressure58542
Crude OilThe repository presents a mixed but slightly bearish forward-looking narrative for oil. WTI and WTICO_USD both carry sell signals from the 9/13 count, while technical readings are divided between short-term weakness and longer-horizon support. Retail positioning for WTICO_USD is strongly bullish, but overall source agreement is low because the signals conflict. Longer-horizon moving-average support · Positive momentum and MACD signals · Strong retail bullish positioning for WTICO_USDSell signal from the 9/13 count indicator · Short-term weakness across several moving averages · Conflicting momentum and oscillator readings50552

How to read this page

Scores measure the directional balance of current market commentary. Positive readings indicate a greater share of bullish forward-looking narratives; negative readings indicate a greater share of bearish narratives. A rising score means narrative momentum is improving, while a falling score means it is deteriorating.

Current breadth

  • 0 markets bullish
  • 1 markets neutral or mixed
  • 3 markets bearish