XRP Price Forecast: Recovery Odds Rise as XRP Recaptures Key Level
Author: Alejandro Arrieche
Published: July 06, 2026
Key Points
- XRP net inflows to ETFs dropped by 55% in June, indicating waning investor interest.
- Despite Wall Street's disinterest, on-chain data shows whales accumulating XRP.
- XRP could rise to $1.50 after reclaiming the $1.13 area or drop to $0.80 if selling pressure resumes.
Market Overview
XRP has experienced an 8% increase over the past week, bouncing off the $1.03 level. Trading volumes surged by 62% in the last 24 hours, reaching $1.8 billion. Currently, XRP is trading above $1.15, having regained a former support level lost during June's selling spree. This recovery is seen as a positive technical indicator, suggesting rising buying pressure.
ETF Inflows and Investor Sentiment
In June, net inflows to XRP-linked ETFs fell from $132 million in May to $59 million, a significant 55% decline. This drop reflects a decrease in investor interest at current price levels. However, daily active users on the XRP Ledger have spiked, indicating that while institutional investors may be retreating, retail and crypto-native buyers are stepping in, potentially viewing XRP as undervalued.
Technical Analysis
The daily chart shows XRP finding support at $1.03 and breaking above the $1.13 resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shifted, indicating a potential change in momentum. If the price continues to rise, a retest of the $1.32 area is anticipated, which was a previous support level now acting as resistance. The 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) is currently at $1.50, suggesting a possible upside of 33% if the bullish trend continues.
Risk Assessment
Conversely, if XRP fails to maintain its position above $1.13, there is a risk of a decline to $0.80. A short position is recommended if the price drops below $1.13, as this presents a favorable risk-reward scenario for traders.
Conclusion
The current market for XRP presents mixed signals, with whale accumulation suggesting potential for recovery, while declining ETF inflows indicate caution among traditional investors. The next few trading sessions will be crucial in determining whether XRP can sustain its upward momentum or if it will face further declines.