Circle Internet Group (CRCL) Price Forecast: Short-Term Top, Long-Term Bullish

Published: March 05, 2026, 22:31 GMT+00:00

Key Points

• CRCL breaks out post-earnings, reclaiming 50/100-day moving averages and the $91.20 high.
• RSI indicates overbought conditions, with volume fading at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement top.
• A bearish shooting star pattern confirms a potential drop below $103.51.
• Primary support is identified in the $91.20–$91.30 zone, with secondary support at the 50-day moving average of $74.29.

Earnings Ignite Explosive Rally

Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL) has seen a significant surge in its stock price following the release of its Q4 2025 earnings on February 25, which exceeded consensus forecasts. This strong performance led to a breakout from a four-month consolidation phase, with the stock reaching a peak of $110.12. The rally not only reclaimed the 50-day moving average but also broke through a long-term downtrend line, signaling a potential reversal that attracted technical traders.

Caution Flags at New Highs

Despite the impressive gains, caution signals have emerged. The stock's recent high was accompanied by a bearish intraday reversal and the completion of a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from its record high of $298.99, achieved in early June 2025. The RSI has reached extreme overbought levels, and trading volume has notably decreased, indicating potential exhaustion in the upward momentum. A bearish shooting star candlestick pattern has formed, suggesting that a close below $103.51 could trigger a pullback to test support levels.

Prime Pullback Opportunities Ahead

Post-breakout pullbacks often present optimal risk-reward setups for traders. The primary support level to watch is the $91.30–$91.20 range, which aligns with the 100-day moving average. A successful hold at this level could provide a reversal trigger for bulls. Additionally, the rising 50-day moving average at $74.29 serves as a secondary support level, offering further protection if needed. With the earnings momentum still intact and favorable conditions in the crypto sector, it is anticipated that bulls will defend these support levels aggressively, aiming for the next upward leg in the stock's price.

About the Author

Bruce Powers is a seasoned finance professional with over 20 years of experience in financial markets. He holds an MBA and is a CMT® charter holder. Bruce has served as the head of trading strategy at hedge funds and as a corporate advisor for trading firms, providing actionable insights through both technical and fundamental analyses.