XRP News Summary: $1.5 Break Sparks Reversal Hopes

Published: February 15, 2026

Author: Bob Mason

Key Highlights

• XRP has reclaimed the $1.5 mark, breaking a five-week losing streak.
• ETF inflows and a cooling US CPI have lifted market sentiment.
• Institutional interest in XRP is rising, bolstered by robust demand for XRP-spot ETFs.
• Critical support remains at $1.0, while targets for medium-term projections are set at $2.0 and $2.5.

Market Sentiment and Drivers

This week, XRP's price recovery is attributed to several factors, including positive legislative developments in the crypto space and a favorable US CPI report indicating cooling inflation. These elements have contributed to a renewed interest in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Coinbase's CEO, Brian Armstrong, expressed optimism regarding ongoing discussions in Washington, D.C., about crypto regulations, particularly concerning stablecoin yields. He emphasized the importance of achieving a balanced approach that benefits both the crypto industry and traditional banking concerns.

Institutional Demand and ETF Developments

For the second consecutive week, the US XRP-spot ETF market has seen net inflows, signaling strong institutional demand. This trend supports a bullish outlook for XRP, especially if BlackRock proceeds with launching an iShares XRP Trust, which could further validate XRP's utility and attract more institutional investors.

Price Forecasts

Despite the recent recovery, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bearish, with a target price of $1.0. However, the medium-term outlook (4-8 weeks) is more optimistic, projecting a price target of $2.5, and a longer-term target (8-12 weeks) of $3.0.

Risks to the Outlook

Several risks could impact XRP's price trajectory, including:

• A hawkish stance from the Bank of Japan, which could affect liquidity.
• Cooling expectations for a Fed rate cut in the first half of 2026.
• Delays or opposition to the Market Structure Bill in the Senate.
• Extended periods of net outflows from XRP-spot ETFs.

Technical Analysis

XRP's recent rally has brought it back above $1.5, but it remains below key moving averages, indicating bearish momentum. Key technical levels to monitor include:

• Support: $1.5, $1.0, and $0.7773.
• Resistance: $2.0, $2.5, and $3.0.

A sustained break above $1.5 could lead to a test of the 50-day EMA, which is currently at $1.7448.

Conclusion

The outlook for XRP remains closely tied to legislative developments, ETF flows, and macroeconomic indicators. A successful passage of the Market Structure Bill could significantly boost XRP's demand and price, with potential targets reaching as high as $3.66 in the longer term.