XRP Price Forecast: A 20% Rise is Possible as Trump Raises Crypto Bill Hopes

Published: February 18, 2026, 10:35 GMT+00:00

Key Points

• XRP is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern on the four-hour chart, having rebounded from a low of approximately $1.12 earlier in February.
• The price has surpassed the 20-4H and 50-4H exponential moving averages (EMAs), which increases the likelihood of a move towards the upper boundary of the wedge.
• Market sentiment is improving following President Donald Trump's announcement that a U.S. crypto market structure bill is nearing advancement.

Technical Analysis

XRP is showing a potential for a 20% upside as bullish chart patterns align with positive regulatory news. The price is currently compressing within a rising wedge, with the upper trendline near $1.77, which coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.

Resistance levels that may hinder XRP from reaching the upper boundary include the 200-4H EMA and the 0.382 Fibonacci line at around $1.61. A drop below the 20-4H and 50-4H EMAs could trigger a classic rising wedge breakdown, potentially sending prices down to $1.18, a decline of about 20% from current levels.

Regulatory Developments

President Trump has indicated that a significant U.S. crypto market structure bill is close to being passed. This legislation aims to clarify the regulatory framework for digital assets by dividing oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Under this proposal, the CFTC would regulate digital commodities like Bitcoin and Ether, while the SEC would oversee tokens classified as securities.

The House has already advanced its version of the bill, and Senate committees are moving related proposals forward. Although there are still differences between drafts, Trump's comments suggest that lawmakers may be nearing a consensus.

A positive update regarding the market structure bill could serve as a catalyst for XRP's price to continue its upward trajectory within the wedge, with targets of $1.77 to $1.81 becoming more attainable if a breakout occurs.

Conclusion

The combination of bullish technical indicators and favorable regulatory news creates a promising outlook for XRP. Traders and investors should monitor the price action closely, particularly around key resistance levels and the potential impact of the upcoming crypto market structure bill.