XRP Price Forecast: ETF Demand Sparks Rebound
Published: February 26, 2026
Author: Bob Mason
Key Highlights
- XRP surges 10% due to ETF inflows and optimism surrounding the Market Structure Bill.
- Medium-term price target for XRP is set at $2.0, with a longer-term projection of $3.0.
- Bearish EMAs persist, but reclaiming $1.50 could signal a bullish trend reversal.
Market Overview
On February 25, XRP experienced a significant rebound, driven by positive sentiment in the crypto market stemming from ETF inflows and legislative developments. The optimism surrounding the Market Structure Bill, which aims to clarify the regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, has been a key factor in boosting demand for XRP.
Legislative Developments
Recent discussions in Washington have focused on reaching an agreement on stablecoin yields, which has further fueled interest in XRP. The White House has set a deadline for March 1 for a draft text of the Market Structure Bill, creating urgency among stakeholders in the banking and crypto sectors to find common ground.
Historically, XRP has shown sensitivity to legislative changes, as evidenced by its price movements following the passage of the Market Structure Bill in July 2025.
ETF Market Dynamics
The US BTC-spot ETF market has seen a resurgence in demand, with net inflows of $257.7 million reported on February 24, reversing previous outflows. This trend is crucial as Bitcoin often serves as a barometer for the broader crypto market, influencing XRP's price movements.
Price Forecasts
Despite a 13% decline in February, the medium-term outlook for XRP remains bullish, with targets set at:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): $1.0
- Medium-term (4-8 weeks): $2.0
- Long-term (8-12 weeks): $3.0
Risks to the Outlook
Several factors could impact XRP's price trajectory negatively, including:
- Escalation of geopolitical tensions, particularly involving the US and Iran.
- Economic indicators that may lower expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut.
- Delays or opposition to the Market Structure Bill.
- Extended periods of net outflows from XRP-spot ETFs.
Technical Analysis
XRP closed at $1.4335 after a 6.27% rally on February 25, outperforming the broader crypto market. However, it remains below its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating a bearish bias. Key technical levels to monitor include:
- Support Levels: $1.0, $0.7773
- Resistance Levels: $1.5, $2.0, $2.5, $3.0
Conclusion
The outlook for XRP is closely tied to legislative developments, ETF flows, and broader market sentiment. A successful passage of the Market Structure Bill could significantly bolster XRP's price, while ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic indicators will remain critical factors to watch.