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Gold vs. Bitcoin Analysis
Crypto 2025-12-08 08:11 source ↗

Gold vs. Bitcoin: BTC Could Hit $140K — Can XAUUSD Break $3,400?

In the current market analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $105,000, with a recent weekly high of $110,600. The price action shows significant volatility, but the long-term trend indicates potential for further upside. Institutional demand through ETFs and custody programs is helping to stabilize prices above the $100,000 mark, suggesting that BTC is gearing up for a significant upward movement.

Gold Market Overview

Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating above the $3,200 support level. The price has not broken below this level, and the ongoing consolidation between $3,200 and $3,500 raises the likelihood of an upward breakout in the gold market. The analysis of the gold-to-Bitcoin ratio indicates that both assets may continue to rise, with Bitcoin poised for a potential surge.

Gold to Bitcoin Ratio Analysis

The monthly chart for the gold-to-Bitcoin ratio shows a strong bearish trend, approaching a critical support level of 0.026. A break below this level could indicate a significant bottom in the ratio, potentially leading to a strong surge in Bitcoin prices.

Bitcoin to Gold Ratio Insights

The Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio is trending upward within an ascending channel, forming a cup-and-handle pattern. This pattern is near a breakout zone around the 35 to 40 area. A breakout above 40 could trigger a significant move towards the 110 level, indicating a strong surge in Bitcoin prices.

Technical Analysis of Bitcoin

Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, particularly in the 105,000 to 115,000 range. A breakout above 115,000 is anticipated, which could lead to a surge towards the 140,000 mark. The formation of a cup pattern and a bullish hammer at the 50-day SMA further support this bullish outlook.

Technical Analysis of Gold

Gold is consolidating at the breakout point of an ascending broadening wedge pattern, indicating bullish momentum. The price has failed to close above the all-time high of $3,500, but multiple inverted head-and-shoulders patterns suggest that prices are likely to continue moving higher. Key levels to watch include $3,200 as support and $3,400 as a critical level for further upside.

Conclusion

Both Bitcoin and gold are showing signs of bullish momentum, with Bitcoin potentially heading towards $140,000 and gold aiming to break above $3,400. Traders should monitor these key levels closely as market dynamics evolve.

Author: Muhammad Umair, a finance MBA and engineering PhD, specializes in currencies and precious metals analysis.

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Informational only. Not investment advice.