Market Analysis Summary - US CPI Report

Date: February 13, 2026

In the latest release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the year-over-year inflation rate has been reported at 2.4%, slightly below the expected consensus of 2.5%. This figure indicates a cooling trend in inflation, which may provide some relief to markets that have been struggling to gain momentum recently.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by 0.2% in January on a seasonally adjusted basis. The report highlighted that while the index for shelter continued to rise, the energy index experienced a decline, which helped offset increases in other categories.

Market reactions to the CPI data have been broadly positive, leading to a rally across various asset classes including metals, bonds, cryptocurrencies, oil, and stock futures. However, the US Dollar has shown a downward trend in response to the news. Analysts expect that the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in March, currently at 10%, may increase as the market digests this data.

Overall, the market is anticipated to open positively, with a general bullish sentiment prevailing as investors react to the CPI figures. Further analysis and insights on the implications of this report will be provided shortly.