XRP News Summary - February 25, 2026
Author: Bob Mason
Published: February 25, 2026
Key Highlights
- Odds for a June Fed rate cut have decreased to 49.6%, impacting crypto sentiment negatively.
- XRP-spot ETFs recorded $3.04 million in inflows, totaling $1.23 billion since launch.
- Despite bearish technical indicators, a medium-term price target of $2.0 for XRP is projected.
Market Overview
On February 24, XRP experienced a decline due to fading expectations of a June Fed rate cut, as US economic data showed stronger-than-expected consumer confidence. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index rose from 89.0 in January to 91 in February, surpassing forecasts of 87.0. This uptick in consumer sentiment suggests potential inflationary pressures, which could delay Fed rate cuts and negatively affect speculative trading in cryptocurrencies.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment
Despite the bearish sentiment from the Fed's stance, there was a notable increase in institutional demand for XRP. The XRP-spot ETF market saw significant inflows, which have been crucial for XRP's price trajectory. The total net inflows into XRP-spot ETFs reached $1.23 billion, with only five days of net outflows since its launch in November. This positive trend in ETF inflows has helped bolster market sentiment for XRP.
Price Forecasts
XRP has seen a 15.6% drop in February, leading to a cautious short-term outlook with a target price of $1.0. However, the medium-term outlook (4-8 weeks) remains bullish with a target of $2.0, and a longer-term target (8-12 weeks) of $3.0 is also projected. Key factors supporting this bullish outlook include:
- Strong demand for XRP-spot ETFs.
- Optimism surrounding the Market Structure Bill in the US Senate.
- Increased utility of XRP.
Risks to the Outlook
Several risks could hinder the positive outlook for XRP, including:
- Geopolitical tensions, particularly a potential US-Iran conflict.
- US economic data that may temper expectations for a Fed rate cut.
- Delays or opposition to the Market Structure Bill.
- Extended periods of net outflows from XRP-spot ETFs.
Technical Analysis
XRP closed at $1.3489 on February 24, showing less severe losses compared to the broader crypto market. The token remains below its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating a bearish bias. Key technical levels to monitor include:
- Support levels: $1.0 and $0.7773.
- Resistance levels: $1.5, $2.0, $2.5, and $3.0.
A breakout above $1.50 could signal a bullish trend reversal, while a sustained move below $1.0 would reinforce the bearish outlook.
Conclusion
Looking ahead, XRP's price will be influenced by various factors, including ETF flows, US economic indicators, and geopolitical developments. A dovish Fed and favorable regulatory legislation could support a medium-term move towards $2.0, while the passage of the Market Structure Bill could reinforce a longer-term target of $3.0.