XRP News and Market Analysis - June 18, 2025

Author: Bob Mason

Published: June 18, 2025

Key Highlights

• Ripple's court filing aims for a favorable ruling to support a settlement with the SEC.
• A potential settlement could lift the injunction on institutional XRP sales.
• XRP experienced a 3.43% decline on June 17 amid broader market weakness.

SEC vs. Ripple Case

Recent court filings in the SEC vs. Ripple case have sparked speculation about a possible settlement. Ripple's attorney, James Filan, shared a filing that requests Judge Torres to grant a favorable indicative ruling on settlement terms. Ripple argues that the SEC's commitment to providing clear regulatory guidelines for the crypto industry supports their case for a negotiated settlement.

Ripple's filing emphasizes that a settlement would relieve the burdens on the court and align Ripple more closely with other crypto cases that have been dismissed. Legal experts have commented positively on this move, suggesting it could save on legal costs and reduce uncertainty regarding XRP sales to institutional investors.

Impact of Settlement on XRP and ETF Applications

A favorable ruling could allow both Ripple and the SEC to withdraw their appeals, potentially leading to the approval of pending XRP-spot ETF applications. This development could significantly increase demand for XRP, possibly driving its price to new highs.

On June 17, the SEC delayed its decision on Franklin Templeton’s XRP Fund, further complicating the situation for XRP investors.

XRP Price Outlook

On June 17, XRP closed at $2.1606 after a 3.43% drop, reversing a previous rally. The price outlook for XRP is closely tied to the upcoming court ruling and developments regarding ETF applications. A breakout above $2.2 could lead to a retest of the June 16 high of $2.3376, while a drop below the 200-day EMA could target the $1.9299 support level.

Market Context: Bitcoin and Geopolitical Tensions

While XRP faced legal challenges, Bitcoin also experienced selling pressure due to escalating tensions in the Iran-Israel conflict. Reports of potential US military involvement have raised concerns about oil supply disruptions and inflationary pressures, impacting risk assets like Bitcoin.

On June 17, Bitcoin fell 2.14% to close at $104,518. The price trajectory for Bitcoin will depend on geopolitical developments, legislative news, and ETF flows.

Conclusion

Investors are advised to monitor the ongoing legal developments in the Ripple case, geopolitical news from the Middle East, and ETF flow data, as these factors will significantly influence the price movements of XRP and Bitcoin in the near term.