US Strategy on Hormuz Strait: Will Capturing Kharg Island Backfire?
Date: June 13, 2026
In a significant development, the US President has indicated a potential military operation to seize Kharg Island, a crucial part of Iran's oil infrastructure. This island, located in the Hormuz Strait, has been described as a "preferred option" for US strategy, although the details of the operation remain unclear. The President's statements have raised concerns regarding domestic support for such military actions.
Conflicting Statements and Hopes for an Imminent Deal
In a surprising turn, the President also mentioned that an "excellent agreement" regarding Iran was nearing completion, with expectations for a signing event in Europe. This agreement is seen as a potential pathway to reopening the Hormuz Strait, which would stabilize maritime navigation in this vital area.
Seizing Kharg Island: A Pressure Tactic or a Strategic Trap?
Experts interpret the threats to capture Kharg Island as a tactic of "maximum pressure" aimed at compelling Iran to make concessions. However, military analysts warn that such an operation could lead to unintended consequences, potentially dragging the US into a prolonged conflict.
The Strategic and Historical Significance of Kharg Island
Kharg Island is strategically located in the northern Persian Gulf and is vital for Iran's oil exports, accounting for 90% of its oil trade before recent conflicts. Control over the island would severely impact Iran's economy, which is heavily reliant on oil revenues.
Previous Military Interventions and the Current Situation
Earlier this year, the US conducted airstrikes on military targets on Kharg Island, claiming to have destroyed all military objectives. The US has maintained a blockade of Iranian ports and targeted oil tankers in the vicinity, but has not escalated to further direct strikes.
The Impact of Current Seizure on the Iranian Economy
Iran's oil exports have already been significantly reduced due to ongoing conflicts. Thus, even if the US were to capture Kharg Island, the immediate economic impact on Iran might be limited.
Expert Assessments: Easy Capture, Prohibitively High Garrison Costs
Defense analysts believe that while the US military could quickly occupy Kharg Island, maintaining a garrison would be costly and risky. The island would be vulnerable to Iranian missile and drone attacks, and any successful Iranian strike could be used for propaganda against the US. Former US Central Command commander Joseph Votel noted that garrisoning the island would require substantial logistical support and could prolong the conflict without achieving a decisive victory.
Conclusion
In summary, while the capture of Kharg Island may seem strategically advantageous, the potential costs and risks associated with such an operation could outweigh the benefits, leading to a more complicated military engagement in the region.