Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) Price Forecast Summary
Published: February 19, 2026
Key Points
- 200-day moving average held as key support.
- Bull flag pattern favors trend continuation.
- Breakout confirmation above $110.50.
- Near-term support clustered around $92.
- Upside targets near $141 and $159.
Company Overview and Recent Price Action
Nebius Group NV (NBIS) specializes in building vertically integrated AI infrastructure, including large-scale GPU clusters and cloud platforms. Recently, the stock completed a 50% retracement, hitting a low of $71.52, and found support near the 200-day moving average, subsequently turning higher. Following the earnings report for fiscal Q4 2025 on February 12, the stock has shown strength by reclaiming the confluence of the 10-day and 50-day moving averages around $92.73, indicating a potential strong support zone.
Bull Flag Pattern and Breakout Setup
The successful test of support at the 200-day moving average marks the first since it was reclaimed in May of the previous year. The initial pullback following the bounce has provided additional verification of support. NBIS is now positioned to break out above the confluence of a downtrend line and a lower swing high at $110.50, which would trigger a bull flag continuation pattern. A daily close above this level will confirm the breakout and signal a reversal of the recent bearish correction. The recovery of the moving averages suggests that this upward movement may be sustained.
Short-Term Consolidation and Key Support Levels
In the short term, NBIS appears slightly extended. An initial pullback or consolidation before a breakout could help build demand, increasing the chances of a successful breakout. Key support levels are identified at the confluence of the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, currently at $92.85 and $92.41, respectively. If these averages fail to hold, the potential for a breakout may be delayed.
Upside Targets and Long-Term Trend
The recent 50% correction in NBIS followed a remarkable 671% rally over six months, resulting in a bull flag formation that suggests the potential for another strong upward movement once the breakout is confirmed. Initial upside targets are set at the September peak of $141.10, followed by a 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $159.39. The sharp advance prior to the flag indicates that the long-term bullish trend for NBIS remains intact.
About the Author
Bruce Powers is a seasoned finance professional with over 20 years of experience in financial markets. He holds an MBA and is a CMT® charter holder. Bruce has served as the head of trading strategy at hedge funds and as a corporate advisor for trading firms, providing actionable insights through both technical and fundamental analyses.