Strategy, Inc (MSTR) Price Forecast Summary

Published on February 5, 2026, by Bruce Powers, the article discusses the bearish outlook for Strategy, Inc. (MSTR) following a significant breakdown below key moving averages. The stock has recently fallen below both the 200-week and 50-month moving averages, indicating a strong bearish momentum as it trades near weekly lows at $104.17.

Key Points

• MSTR has broken below critical trend support levels.
• Bearish momentum persists, with the stock trading near its weekly lows.
• Despite being oversold on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), further downside is anticipated.

Resistance Levels

While a short-term bounce may occur, the overall trend remains bearish. Any rallies are expected to face resistance at:

• The 200-week average at $146.35.
• This week’s lower high of $147.88.
• The 10-week average, currently at $159, which is also declining.

Support Zones and Downside Risks

The next support zone is identified between $102.40 and $101.00, which corresponds to previous highs from 2021. A failure to hold this support could lead to a rapid decline towards $80.00, a level that previously acted as resistance in 2021.

Fibonacci Levels and Further Projections

If the support range is breached, the stock could quickly approach the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $73.65. The article emphasizes that if this level fails, the chances of a bullish recovery diminish significantly.

Measured Move Projections

Further downside risk is highlighted by a projected 127.2% measured move target at $61.00, based on the ABCD pattern observed in the stock's price action. The first target of this pattern aligns with a previous pivot level at $145.73, which was recognized by the market before the recent breakdown.

Conclusion

The analysis concludes that MSTR is in a precarious position, with significant bearish indicators suggesting that further declines are likely unless a strong reversal pattern emerges. Traders are advised to monitor key support and resistance levels closely as the situation develops.