Market Analysis Summary: Year-End Signals for Gold, Silver, and Cryptos
Author: Przemysław Radomski
Published: December 31, 2025
Overview
The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the market trends for gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies as the year 2025 comes to a close. It highlights the challenges faced by these assets and offers insights into potential movements in 2026.
Gold and Silver Market Analysis
Gold prices have recently failed to maintain a breakout above their October highs, indicating a bearish trend. Silver, after a brief rally, has also seen a significant decline. The author notes that recent margin hikes by the CME for silver futures are likely to exert downward pressure on prices, reminiscent of past market behaviors in 1980 and 2011.
Despite the short-term bearish outlook, the author believes that silver's long-term prospects remain strong due to rising industrial demand and potential physical shortages. The article emphasizes caution for short positions in silver, suggesting that while prices may dip, a recovery could occur swiftly.
Platinum and Miners
Platinum has also shown weakness, with a failed breakout above $2,500 leading to a drop below $2,000. This signals a bearish trend similar to gold's invalidation. The performance of mining stocks, particularly the GDXJ, indicates a potential top in the market, as they have not kept pace with silver's movements.
US Dollar Index and Its Implications
The article discusses a potential rally in the US Dollar Index (DXY), which may further accelerate declines in precious metals and mining stocks. The author suggests that the DXY is forming a stealthy bottom, which could catch many investors off guard in the coming months.
Cryptocurrency Outlook
Bitcoin's technical indicators are described as "terrible," with a confirmed breakdown and lack of recovery despite fluctuations in the USD. The author expresses skepticism about the long-term viability of cryptocurrencies as a stable form of money, suggesting that many investors are beginning to realize the speculative nature of these assets.
While some cryptocurrencies may still hold value, particularly those backed by tangible assets, the overall sentiment is shifting away from viewing them as reliable currencies.
Future Market Trends
The article concludes with a prediction of a major market rotation, particularly favoring silver due to its applications in emerging technologies like quantum computing. The author anticipates that silver investments will perform well, while the outlook for cryptocurrencies remains uncertain and potentially challenging.
Overall, the analysis suggests that 2026 may present significant opportunities for investors who are well-positioned to navigate these shifts in the market.
Final Thoughts
The author expresses gratitude for the readership in 2025 and wishes for a prosperous 2026, emphasizing the importance of being prepared for the evolving market landscape.